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Recoil Case is $0.30 unopened plus $2.49 per key ($2.79 total, USD). Expected value is $1.00 (-$1.79 vs opening cost), Unbox ROI -64.24%, Investing ROI 0.00%, Profit 4.54%. 41 items across 4 rarities. Updated June 5, 2026. Research only, not financial advice.
$0.30
$1.00
-64.24%
0.00%
4.54%
41
Rarity, price and probability breakdown for every possible drop.
Rare Special Item
Avg Price
$298.87
covert
Avg Price
$57.79
classified
Avg Price
$8.32
restricted
Avg Price
$1.09
milspec
Avg Price
$0.32
The Recoil Case Details view shows live metrics — $2.79 opening cost, $1.00 EV, -64.24% Unbox ROI — plus 41 contents. The /simulator route uses the same slug for random runs.
The Details view for Recoil Case consolidates $2.79 opening cost, $1.00 expected value, -64.24% Unbox ROI and 41 drops before you switch to the Simulator.
Recoil Case lists 41 outcomes across 4 rarity tiers. Top average-value drops include ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts, ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot, ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard; ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh is the rarest at 0.01%.
Opening and holding Recoil Case are different bets. Unbox ROI is -64.24% while Investing ROI is 0.00% as of June 5, 2026.
Recoil Case (case) prices and odds move with the market. Current modeled exp. profit is -$1.79 on a $2.79 open — research context only.
As of June 5, 2026, Recoil Case trades at $0.30 unopened with 0.00% Investing ROI and -64.24% Unbox ROI. Holding can differ sharply from opening at $2.79 — compare both paths before committing capital.
Recoil Case expected value is $1.00 (USD), derived from 41 weighted drops. That is -$1.79 versus the $2.79 opening cost on data updated June 5, 2026.
Unbox ROI for Recoil Case is -64.24% (opening at $2.79). Investing ROI is 0.00% (holding at $0.30). A higher number in one column does not validate the other.
Recoil Case contains 41 items across 4 rarity tiers. Highest average-value drops include ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts, ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot, ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard; ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh is the rarest at 0.01%.
The Recoil Case pool spans 41 outcomes in 4 groups. ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh sits at 0.01% (about 1 in 9259), while common tiers carry most of the probability mass.
As of June 5, 2026, Recoil Case is $0.30 unopened (USD). Keys add $2.49, so one open costs $2.79 before any outcome.
Opening costs $2.79 with -64.24% Unbox ROI and 4.54% profit chance. Holding tracks 0.00% Investing ROI at $0.30. Pick the path that matches your risk tolerance.
In 2026 data updated June 5, 2026, Recoil Case shows 0.00% Investing ROI at $0.30 and -$1.79 modeled exp. profit on opens. Supply, fees and spread still decide real outcomes.
An unopened Recoil Case is worth $0.30 (USD) in CSProfit's current feed. Expected return from opening is $1.00, not the case price itself.
One key for Recoil Case is $2.49 (USD). Combined with the $0.30 case, total opening cost is $2.79 as of June 5, 2026.
Modeled exp. profit is -$1.79 on a $2.79 open, with 4.54% chance to beat cost. Most individual opens still land on common items below $1.00.
Recoil Case currently posts -64.24% Unbox ROI and 0.00% Investing ROI. Compare other cases on CSProfit using the same June 5, 2026 window and USD cost basis.
CSProfit tracks Recoil Case as type case with 41 listed drops. Drop status can change with Valve supply — verify live game drops separately from these June 5, 2026 market metrics.
If you want ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts ($985.70 avg.), buying it directly avoids paying $2.79 for a 0.01% shot at ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh. Opening remains random entertainment.
You pay $2.79 for a random outcome where 4.54% of modeled opens beat cost. Legal classification varies by country; CSProfit only reports $1.00 EV and odds.