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M4A1-S | Solitude$1.66-1.2%
M4A1-S | Solitude$4.47+3.5%
AK-47 | Redline$29.59-1.5%
Desert Eagle | Tilted$0.08+14.3%
Glock-18 | High Beam$0.15-16.7%
AK-47 | Slate$4.20+20.0%
AK-47 | Ice Coaled$3.63+11.7%
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S$0.35+0.0%
AK-47 | Olive Polycam$0.61+0.0%
Desert Eagle | Tilted$0.30+0.0%
M4A1-S | Night Terror$0.45+0.0%
M4A1-S | Black Lotus$4.33-0.9%
M4A1-S | Solitude$1.66-1.2%
M4A1-S | Solitude$4.47+3.5%
AK-47 | Redline$29.59-1.5%
Desert Eagle | Tilted$0.08+14.3%
Glock-18 | High Beam$0.15-16.7%
AK-47 | Slate$4.20+20.0%
AK-47 | Ice Coaled$3.63+11.7%
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S$0.35+0.0%
AK-47 | Olive Polycam$0.61+0.0%
Desert Eagle | Tilted$0.30+0.0%
M4A1-S | Night Terror$0.45+0.0%
M4A1-S | Black Lotus$4.33-0.9%

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CS2 Case Research Table

Last updated:

CS2 Cases Tracker for EV, Unbox ROI and Holding ROI

Compare CS2 cases by case price, key cost, total opening cost, expected value, expected profit, profit chance, Unbox ROI and Investing ROI before opening or holding.

AllCasesArmory
#ItemEntry CostExpected ValueExp. ProfitProfit ChanceUnbox ROIInvesting ROI
21
Falchion CaseFalchion CaseCase
$4.07incl. key $2.49
$2.09-$1.98+6.68%-48.64%0.00%
22
Prisma 2 CasePrisma 2 CaseCase
$3.82incl. key $2.49
$2.46-$1.36+6.47%-35.70%0.00%
23
Operation Bravo CaseOperation Bravo CaseCase
$62.99incl. key $2.49
$19.33-$43.66+6.20%-69.31%0.00%
24
Gamma CaseGamma CaseCase
$5.52incl. key $2.49
$4.26-$1.26+6.10%-22.81%0.00%
25
Chroma 2 CaseChroma 2 CaseCase
$6.06incl. key $2.49
$5.29-$0.77+5.87%-12.66%0.00%
26
Gamma 2 CaseGamma 2 CaseCase
$5.29incl. key $2.49
$3.99-$1.30+5.79%-24.63%0.00%
27
Operation Phoenix Weapon CaseOperation Phoenix Weapon CaseCase
$6.17incl. key $2.49
$2.99-$3.18+5.75%-51.52%0.00%
28
Chroma 3 CaseChroma 3 CaseCase
$5.66incl. key $2.49
$4.94-$0.72+5.65%-12.65%0.00%
29
Revolver CaseRevolver CaseCase
$5.15incl. key $2.49
$2.46-$2.69+5.57%-52.27%0.00%
30
Spectrum CaseSpectrum CaseCase
$6.07incl. key $2.49
$4.50-$1.57+5.22%-25.87%0.00%
31
Operation Breakout Weapon CaseOperation Breakout Weapon CaseCase
$9.96incl. key $2.49
$4.37-$5.59+5.20%-56.10%0.00%
32
Spectrum 2 CaseSpectrum 2 CaseCase
$5.37incl. key $2.49
$4.00-$1.37+5.18%-25.47%0.00%
33
Chroma CaseChroma CaseCase
$6.86incl. key $2.49
$5.65-$1.21+5.08%-17.61%0.00%
34
Fever CaseFever CaseCase
$2.93incl. key $2.49
$1.88-$1.05+5.05%-35.67%0.00%
35
eSports 2013 CaseeSports 2013 CaseCase
$54.40incl. key $2.49
$16.95-$37.45+4.94%-68.84%0.00%
36
Kilowatt CaseKilowatt CaseCase
$2.66incl. key $2.49
$0.83-$1.83+4.78%-68.65%0.00%
37
Fracture CaseFracture CaseCase
$2.92incl. key $2.49
$0.90-$2.02+4.66%-69.33%0.00%
38
Dreams & Nightmares CaseDreams & Nightmares CaseCase
$3.68incl. key $2.49
$2.12-$1.56+4.36%-42.34%0.00%
39
Danger Zone CaseDanger Zone CaseCase
$3.84incl. key $2.49
$1.39-$2.45+4.24%-63.71%0.00%
40
Recoil CaseRecoil CaseCase
$2.84incl. key $2.49
$0.99-$1.85+4.23%-65.05%0.00%

CS2 Cases Tracker for EV, Unbox ROI and Holding ROI

Compare CS2 cases by case price, key cost, total opening cost, expected value, expected profit, profit chance, Unbox ROI and Investing ROI before opening or holding.

Case EV table

Expected value estimates the average modeled output value from opening a case, using odds and current market references.

Opening cost

Case research must include both unopened case price and key cost before comparing EV or Unbox ROI.

Drop status context

Active, rare and discontinued cases can behave differently because supply and demand are not the same.

No opening guarantee

Even positive-looking EV can lose in real outcomes because case openings are random and market prices change.

Compare case-opening math and holding math separately

Opening a case and holding an unopened case are different questions. The table keeps Unbox ROI and Investing ROI next to each other without pretending they mean the same thing.

  • Unbox ROI uses case price, key cost, odds and outcome values.
  • Investing ROI tracks market movement for the unopened case.
  • Profit chance explains modeled probability, not certainty.
  • Drop status and liquidity decide how useful the signal is.

Why case price and key cost must stay visible

Many case tools overfocus on output skins. A clean case tracker starts with total cost so the expected value can be read honestly.

  • A cheap case can still be poor to open after key cost.
  • A popular case can be liquid but low EV.
  • High expected value can depend on rare outcomes with low probability.
  • Always compare recent update timing before acting.

Use details and simulator for deeper case research

The list page is for scanning. Detail pages explain contents, rarity pools and top outcomes; simulator pages show virtual short-run variance.

  • Open Details for full contents and drop probabilities.
  • Use Simulator for odds visualization, not real opening advice.
  • Keep session results separate from long-run EV.
  • Do not chase simulated wins or losses in real openings.

CS2 Cases Tracker for EV, Unbox ROI and Holding ROI FAQ

What is CS2 case expected value?

Expected value is the modeled average output value of a case opening based on drop odds and market reference prices.

Does high Unbox ROI make a case profitable?

No. Unbox ROI is an estimate and real case openings are random. Fees, liquidity and price changes can erase apparent upside.

What is the difference between opening and holding a case?

Opening uses odds and key cost; holding tracks the market price of the unopened case.

Should I open cases to get a specific skin?

Usually buying the exact skin is cleaner than relying on random case outcomes. The tracker is for research only.